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Notices by simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net), page 3

  1. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Wednesday, 30-Mar-2022 20:16:30 EDT simsa04 simsa04
    New blog post : "The Unavoidable War" https://simsa01.wordpress.com/2022/03/31/the-unavoidable-war/
    In conversation Wednesday, 30-Mar-2022 20:16:30 EDT from gnusocial.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. File without filename could not get a thumbnail source.
      The Unavoidable War
      By simsa0 from simsa0's wordpress

      With regard to the war between Russia and Ukraine :

      1.  This war has been started by an autocrat who runs a hierarchical system which is designed in such a way that it rewards his underlings for their obedience and, in case they disapprove, intimidates them so much that they rather commit war crimes and ignore their own morality than oppose the leader.

      2.  In such a system there will not be a palace revolution or a coup.

      3.  Putin is willing to out-escalate everybody in this conflict.

      4.  In regular wars that are not «wars of exhaustion and annihilation», i.e., wars with specific objectives, a situation can be reached in which all parties agree to cease fire.

      5.  In a war run by a state aligned to an autocrat, such states don’t stop conflicts according to cost-benefit analyses but keep the war efforts continuing due to the whims of the autocrat. It is no longer a rational cost-benefit enterprise but a psycho-pathological one, in which the mental survival of the autocrat becomes the main war objective.

      6.  Such wars and their escalations won’t stop until the autocrat is removed from power, i.e., dead. As the autocrat in Russia does not need to fear a coup from the inside (his entourage or the people of his country), this objective can only be reached from the outside. This was the insight Churchill had with regard to Hitler.

      7.  As Putin already sees Russia in a war with NATO («economic war» via sanctions to «obliterate Russia» as the West’s version of hybrid warfare), it is only a matter of time when a NATO–Russia conventional war will take place. (Although all western politicians seem to act franticly to avoid just that.)

      8.  As this war will only end when Putin is gone, there will not be any other way than to face the inevitability and, sadly, the necessity of a major war in Europe, if not transcontinental between the USA and Russia, fought with WMDs and nuclear weapons in particular.

      9.  Like Churchill understood that the war will only end when Hitler is gone, the West has to understand that this is a war – merely looking right now as one confined to Russia and Ukraine – that will not end by sitting apart but when military action defeated Russia and removed Putin. Everything else is illusory.

      10.  People still hope that this nightmare may pass them by, that the war between Russia and Ukraine can somehow be limited to this conflict. But either way, as long as Putin is not removed, the next escalation is only a matter of time.

      (11.  I am not happy with this post. In fact, I am desperate and terrified by what I see to come.)

       

      * * *

       

  2. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Thursday, 10-Mar-2022 18:24:29 EST simsa04 simsa04
    Peter Dickinson, "Not just Putin: Most Russians support the war in Ukraine" https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/not-just-putin-most-russians-support-the-war-in-ukraine/
    In conversation Thursday, 10-Mar-2022 18:24:29 EST from gnusocial.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. Not just Putin: Most Russians support the war in Ukraine
      By Peter Dickinson from Atlantic Council
      Many international commentators have pinned the blame for the Russian invasion of Ukraine solely on Vladimir Putin but the chilling truth is that an overwhelming majority of ordinary Russians also support the war.
  3. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Friday, 04-Mar-2022 15:36:51 EST simsa04 simsa04
    Paola Tamma, Douglas Busvine, Victor Jack,"Economic meltdown gives Putin a route back to Soviet repression" https://www.politico.eu/article/economic-meltdown-russia-putin-soviet-repression/

    «The question now is whether Moscow can insulate its broader economy, or whether Putin's plan is, in fact, the opposite. Collapsing the economy and markets, while printing an unbacked currency, creates a historic opportunity to expropriate the oligarchs as a class when markets reopen and the companies trade as penny stocks. That would sap the power of Putin's potential rivals, while he remained protected by the security apparatus.»

    Only mentioned in passing and then concentrating on the financial and economic fallout Western sanctions have on Russia (and the dilemma China is put into), the article raises the idea that crippling Russia's economy could not only be factored in by Putin but welcomed. It would provide him with a way back to the authoritarian, repressive, poverty-stricken Soviet Union.
    In conversation Friday, 04-Mar-2022 15:36:51 EST from gnusocial.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. Invalid filename.
      Economic meltdown gives Putin a route back to Soviet repression
      from POLITICO
      Facing economic isolation, the danger is that Russia’s leader will just choose to turn back the clock to a darker era.
  4. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Monday, 28-Feb-2022 13:07:26 EST simsa04 simsa04
    A premature celebratory comment by Petr Akopov pulled from the Russian state news agency Ria but still available on webarchive.
    https://web.archive.org/web/20220226051154/https://ria.ru/20220226/rossiya-1775162336.html

    The comment congratulates Putin for bringing "Little Russia" (Ukraine) back to Russia, that, with the addition of Belarus, is now a "Greater Russia" again as three states act like a "single whole". It says that Putin was able to bring Ukraine back before it completely turned "anti-Russia". Tenor: Russia had the right to unification like Europe, like Germany did.
    In conversation Monday, 28-Feb-2022 13:07:26 EST from gnusocial.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. Invalid filename.
      Наступление России и нового мира
      from РИА Новости
      Новый мир рождается на наших глазах. Военная операция России на Украине открыла новую эпоху — причем сразу в трех измерениях. И конечно, в четвертом,... РИА Новости, 26.02.2022
  5. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Sunday, 27-Feb-2022 21:13:27 EST simsa04 simsa04
    https://twitter.com/kamilkazani/status/1497993363076915204

    « Why Russia will lose this war?

    Much of the "realist" discourse is about accepting Putin's victory, cuz it's *guaranteed*. But how do we know it is?

    I'll argue that analysts 1) overrate Russian army 2) underrate Ukrainian one 3) misunderstand Russian strategy & political goals🧵 »

    Read this wonderful thread over on Twitter. Not sure whether it's too simplistic but the various aspects it touches is the best I've read in quite a while. Remarkable.
    In conversation Sunday, 27-Feb-2022 21:13:27 EST from gnusocial.net permalink
  6. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Friday, 25-Feb-2022 10:36:10 EST simsa04 simsa04
    Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's speech to the Russian people [English sub.] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fwzb_JX7u04

    What a difference to the rambling of Putin prior to the attacks.
    In conversation Friday, 25-Feb-2022 10:36:10 EST from gnusocial.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's heartbreaking, defiant speech to the Russian people [English sub.]
      from YouTube
      I hope these bad days pass and countries become intermediaries for peace rather than mere spectators.
  7. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Friday, 18-Feb-2022 18:56:51 EST simsa04 simsa04
    This is how you create a Karen-culture, and white entitlement attitude in general: Establish different juridical standards depending on whether people are white or black. And when a judge sheds tears for the perpetrator and not for Daunte Wright, what do you expect the trajectory will be? More Karen-culture.
    In conversation Friday, 18-Feb-2022 18:56:51 EST from gnusocial.net permalink
  8. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Wednesday, 02-Feb-2022 18:39:05 EST simsa04 simsa04
    S. Abousahl et al., "Technical assessment of nuclear energy with respect to the ‘do no significant harm’ criteria of Regulation (EU) 2020/852 (‘Taxonomy Regulation’)" (JRC Science for Policy Report) https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC125953

    « The analyses did not reveal any science-based evidence that nuclear energy does more harm to human health or to the environment than other electricity production technologies already included in the Taxonomy as activities supporting climate change mitigation. » (p.3 of the pdf)

    #nuclear #energy #sources
    In conversation Wednesday, 02-Feb-2022 18:39:05 EST from gnusocial.net permalink
  9. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Tuesday, 11-Jan-2022 09:55:43 EST simsa04 simsa04
    Linda Geddes, "Covid loses 90% of ability to infect within five minutes in air – study" https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/11/covid-loses-90-of-ability-to-infect-within-five-minutes-in-air-study

    « Coronavirus loses 90% of its ability to infect us within five minutes of becoming airborne, the world’s first simulations of how the virus survives in exhaled air suggest.
    The findings re-emphasise the importance of short-range Covid transmission, with physical distancing and mask-wearing likely to be the most effective means of preventing infection. Ventilation, though still worthwhile, is likely to have a lesser impact. »

    Nice further specification of how aerosol dissemination and ventilation in closed rooms contribute to spread of virus.
    In conversation Tuesday, 11-Jan-2022 09:55:43 EST from gnusocial.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. Covid loses 90% of ability to infect within five minutes in air – study
      from the Guardian
      Exclusive: findings highlight importance of short-range Covid transmission
  10. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Wednesday, 05-Jan-2022 02:43:41 EST simsa04 simsa04
    Today marks day 1,000 of Julian Assange being held at Belmarsh, UK, most of the day in isolation. This torture needs to stop and Assange duly compensated for the human rights abuse by the judicial system of the UK. #freeassange
    In conversation Wednesday, 05-Jan-2022 02:43:41 EST from gnusocial.net permalink
  11. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Wednesday, 22-Dec-2021 21:52:11 EST simsa04 simsa04
    German magazine "Der Spiegel" reports that one million people have died in Russia (population 143 million) due to Covid-19. https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/corona-tote-russland-bricht-traurigen-rekord-a-c5703d88-691d-4ec9-9745-3befb11e1161 (paywalled) Compare this to 800,000 deaths in the U.S. (population 329 million) and 109,000 deaths in Germany (population 83 million people). Gruesome.
    In conversation Wednesday, 22-Dec-2021 21:52:11 EST from gnusocial.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. (S+) Corona-Tote: Russland bricht traurigen Rekord
      Während der Pandemie sind in Russland zusätzlich zu den statistisch erwartbaren Todesfällen mehr als eine Million Menschen gestorben. Die hohe Übersterblichkeit widerspricht den Angaben der Behörden.
  12. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Tuesday, 21-Dec-2021 21:56:59 EST simsa04 simsa04
    Tara Copp, "US Army Creates Single Vaccine Effective Against All COVID & SARS Variants, Researchers Say" https://www.defenseone.com/technology/2021/12/us-army-creates-single-vaccine-effective-against-all-covid-sars-variants/360089/

    « Walter Reed’s Spike Ferritin Nanoparticle COVID-19 vaccine, or SpFN, completed animal trials earlier this year with positive results. Phase 1 of human trials, which tested the vaccine against Omicron and the other variants, wrapped up this month, again with positive results that are undergoing final review, Dr. Kayvon Modjarrad, director of Walter Reed’s infectious diseases branch, said in an exclusive interview with Defense One.

    Unlike existing vaccines, Walter Reed’s SpFN uses a soccer ball-shaped protein with 24 faces for its vaccine, which allows scientists to attach the spikes of multiple coronavirus strains on different faces of the protein. »
    In conversation Tuesday, 21-Dec-2021 21:56:59 EST from gnusocial.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. US Army Creates Single Vaccine Effective Against All COVID & SARS Variants, Researchers Say
      from Defense One
      Within weeks, Walter Reed researchers expect to announce that human trials show success against Omicron—and even future strains.
  13. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Thursday, 09-Dec-2021 19:09:29 EST simsa04 simsa04
    Oscar Archer, "Something Happened At GE Hitachi" https://medium.com/generation-atomic/something-happened-at-ge-hitachi-832996f4a998

    « BWRX-300 is a mini version of a currently licensed reactor design, requiring a fraction of the concrete and steel, 26 months to build, on a 0.026 square km site, using proven reactor components and off-the-shelf balance of plant, based on real world operating experience for similar size and coolant circulation.

    [...] Not only are loss of coolant accidents eliminated by design, the smaller nuclear core leads to significantly limited source term, the inventory of radioactives which need to be kept in the reactor. A small source term justifies a small site boundary, which should be no more than a 1 km radius. Passive coolant circulation takes care of any risk of overheating.

    GE Hitachi are already working with Dominion in the US and OPG in Canada, targeting operation in 2028 and a cost of $1 billion USD (all in, not overnight capital cost). »

    #nuclear
    In conversation Thursday, 09-Dec-2021 19:09:29 EST from gnusocial.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. Something Happened At GE Hitachi
      from Medium
      ‘It was becoming clear that nuclear energy would never be the same and that the industry needed a different approach.’
  14. neil 🍄 (neil@social.coop)'s status on Thursday, 04-Nov-2021 17:15:54 EDT neil 🍄 neil 🍄

    > If [the Luddites] had their way we wouldn’t be living in a world with ‘no technology’, we’d be living in a world where communities have a say in the technological decisions that will impact them.

    – Why the Luddites Matter | LibrarianShipwreck

    Why the Luddites Matter

    (via Harold Jarche https://twitter.com/hjarche/status/1455264342174273550)

    In conversation Thursday, 04-Nov-2021 17:15:54 EDT from social.coop permalink Repeated by simsa04
  15. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Tuesday, 12-Oct-2021 18:14:12 EDT simsa04 simsa04
    Bernd Riegert, "Antisemitismus in der EU weit verbreitet" https://www.dw.com/de/antisemitismus-in-der-eu-weit-verbreitet/a-59482132

    Anti-Semitism is ubiquitous in Europe. The younger generation of Jews in particular ponders whether to leave the European countries and emigrate to Israel or the U.S.
    In conversation Tuesday, 12-Oct-2021 18:14:12 EDT from gnusocial.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. Antisemitismus in der EU weit verbreitet | DW | 12.10.2021
      from DW.COM
      Viele Juden verlassen Europa, weil sie sich zunehmend unsicher fühlen, beklagen jüdische Organisationen in Brüssel. Sie fordern mehr Unterstützung im Kampf gegen den Antisemitismus. Bernd Riegert berichtet.
  16. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Saturday, 09-Oct-2021 21:12:33 EDT simsa04 simsa04
    in reply to
    • lnxw48a1
    This content spamming of his is a scourge.
    In conversation Saturday, 09-Oct-2021 21:12:33 EDT from gnusocial.net permalink
  17. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Tuesday, 05-Oct-2021 19:17:57 EDT simsa04 simsa04
    Sergiy Makogon, "Europe is under attack from Putin’s energy weapon" https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/europe-is-under-attack-from-putins-energy-weapon/

    « [E]veryone agrees that transit through Ukraine must continue. But now that Turk Stream has come online [transporting gas from Gazprom to Hungary], a significant portion of gas flows has already been diverted. If another alternative route is available, Gazprom will be free to weaponize supply volatility against Ukraine. »

    #energy
    In conversation Tuesday, 05-Oct-2021 19:17:57 EDT from gnusocial.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. Europe is under attack from Putin’s energy weapon
      By Peter Dickinson from Atlantic Council
      Moscow's Nord Stream 2 pipeline has yet to enter service but Russian President Vladimir Putin is already being accused of weaponizing energy supplies and attempting to blackmail Europe with high gas prices.
  18. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Friday, 01-Oct-2021 09:59:27 EDT simsa04 simsa04
    Nicholas Sargen, "Global supply chain disruptions are spreading, and nobody knows what to do about it" https://thehill.com/opinion/international/574861-global-supply-chain-disruptions-are-spreading-and-nobody-knows-what-to

    Matt Stoller, "America faces supply-chain disruption and shortages. Here’s why" https://www.theguardian.com/world/all

    As international supply chains are optimsed and rely on routes and chains served by just-in-time deliveries, broken chains cause cascading interruptions across the net. The result is rising prices and productions coming to a halt at unforseen places. The breakdown of industrial civilisation won't come by natural disasters or environmental threats, but by the breakdown of supply chains that are too optimised to be resilient.

    #infrastructure #sources
    In conversation Friday, 01-Oct-2021 09:59:27 EDT from gnusocial.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. Global supply chain disruptions are spreading, and nobody knows what to do about it
      from TheHill
      The pandemic has posed a much greater challenge to multinational corporations: They are contending with complex global disruptions with no end in sight.
  19. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Wednesday, 29-Sep-2021 20:46:08 EDT simsa04 simsa04
    Fiona Harvey, "Cutting methane should be a key Cop26 aim, research suggests" https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/sep/30/cutting-methane-should-be-a-key-cop26-aim-research-suggests

    « Cutting global emissions of methane by 40% by 2030 is achievable, with most cuts possible at low cost or even at a profit for companies such as oil and gas producers. It would make up for much of the shortfall in emissions reductions plans from national governments, according to the Energy Transitions Commission thinktank. [...]

    Methane is a powerful greenhouse gas, about 80 times more potent than carbon dioxide in warming the planet. It is the biggest component of natural gas, used for fuel, and leaks can be caused by poorly constructed conventional drilling operations, shale gas wells, gas pipelines and other fossil fuel infrastructure. Methane is also flared from some oil production sites. »

    #energy
    In conversation Wednesday, 29-Sep-2021 20:46:08 EDT from gnusocial.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. Cutting methane should be a key Cop26 aim, research suggests
      from the Guardian
      Oil and gas producers could reduce emissions at low cost or even at a profit by staunching leaks, says thinktank
  20. simsa04 (simsa04@gnusocial.net)'s status on Wednesday, 29-Sep-2021 20:03:52 EDT simsa04 simsa04
    • gnusocial
    • foo
    There are in fact two ways to deal with the problem of not being able to interact with notices on mastodon servers from gs.net. One is the already mentioned way of copying the notice's url into the search box of gs.net and, if it shows up, interact with it from there.

    The other one is a kind of dirty workaround:

    Create an account on a mastodon server. Subscribe to it from your account in gs.net. If a notice on a mastodon server you want to interact with cannot be found via its url in the search box of gs.net, reply to it with your mastodon account. As you're subscribed to your mastodon account from your account on gs.net, the mastodon notice and your mastodon reply will occur both in your gs.net Home timeline. Interact from gs.net with the mastodon notice (boost, like, reply). You may then delete your mastodon (!) reply to the mastodon notice. Your gs.net interaction ensures the mastodon notice stays in gs.net. Plus the mastodon account is now accessible in gs.net.

    !gnusocial
    In conversation Wednesday, 29-Sep-2021 20:03:52 EDT from gnusocial.net permalink
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