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Economics of the US Economy (econusa) group

  1. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Saturday, 30-Mar-2024 23:49:44 EDT lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    • Economics of the US Economy
    I don't see the proposal mentioned at https://mastodon.social/@axios/112187928102716826 having any impact on bank runs. Bank runs happen because people begin to believe their funds are at risk. In any system other than "pay us a set fee for holding your money", banks will depend on lending (making loans, buying bonds, wiring funds overnight to help weaker institutions look stronger on official forms) ... and as long as that is the case, a bank run is possible.

    Under fee-based funds-holding, banks could have 100% of deposits in a quickly-available form and defuse the rumors that "Bank X is in trouble and you might lose money if you don't withdraw immediately".

    Having said all that, I'm not advocating that we replace lending-based banking with fees-based banking. For one thing, someone would still need to provide lending-based funding to Americans ... from credit cards to car loans to home loans. !econusa
    In conversation about a year ago from nu.federati.net permalink
  2. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Thursday, 03-Aug-2023 04:26:46 EDT lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    • Economics of the US Economy
    I somehow missed this: Newspaper giant #Gannett sues #Google over advertising monopoly https://www.reuters.com/legal/gannett-sues-google-alleges-it-monopolizes-online-ads-2023-06-20/ [www reuters com]

    #anti-trust #monopoly #online_advertising #lawsuit !econusa #usdoj #newspapers
    In conversation Thursday, 03-Aug-2023 04:26:46 EDT from nu.federati.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. Gannett sues Google, alleges online ad monopoly
      from Reuters
      Gannett , the largest U.S. newspaper chain and publisher of USA Today, on Tuesday sued Google for trying to corner the market for online advertising by monopolizing ad technology.
  3. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Thursday, 13-Jul-2023 12:20:09 EDT lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    • Economics of the US Economy
    https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/07/12/the-easy-part-of-the-fight-against-inflation-is-ov/

    > It's easy to understand why some investors have been quick to declare victory over inflation. The broadest CPI measure climbed just 0.2% for the month of June, which was less than many economists had projected for the month. June's reading brought the year-over-year inflation rate to just 3%, which is the lowest for that measure in more than two years.

    The easy part of the fight against inflation is over, says The Motley Fool. Last year's inflation surge ended after June, so annualized moving averages lost a big upward component. And energy price deflation probably ending also. After this, cutting measured price inflation will mean tackling underlying issues.

    > As optimistic as investors were, there are plenty of reasons to remain concerned about inflation. Even with the decline in monthly core inflation rates, the year-over-year rise there was still 4.8%. That's more than double the Fed target.

    > For those who prefer the broader CPI measure, it's important to recognize that the overall figure got a big push downward from a 16.7% plunge in energy prices over the past year. It's not out of the realm of possibility that prices for gasoline, heating oil, and other energy products could continue to fall, but it's more likely that energy will stop exerting so much downward pressure on overall CPI numbers from here on out.

    I think we're getting things confused. Price inflation is generally a symptom and effect of inflation itself. Inflation is generally stated as an increase in the money supply that is in excess of population growth and GDP growth.

    In response to more money being available, sellers raise prices. Or if they do not, buyers buy more stuff, and sellers raise prices until economic growth and population growth match the increased money supply. So prices can surge because (1) "money printer go brrrr" or because (2) more demand, but 'widget' output remains the same.

    We really need for articles covering !econusa to distinguish between inflation (the money printing issue) and price inflation (which is usually an effect thereof). Educate your readers, so they'll understand how various policy choices can affect them. Even the current Fed chair (Jerome Powell) and the secretary of the treasury (Janet Yellen) seem to confuse the two, but that may be their way of not acknowledging that it was primarily their actions that spawned this cycle of increased prices.
    In conversation Thursday, 13-Jul-2023 12:20:09 EDT from nu.federati.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. The Easy Part of the Fight Against Inflation Is Over | The Motley Fool
      from The Motley Fool
      Stocks soared Wednesday, but here comes the hard part.
  4. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Friday, 24-Mar-2023 16:27:13 EDT lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    • Economics of the US Economy
    The Economist explains how US banks are missing a lot of deposits. https://archive.is/mVza8 [archive is] !econusa
    In conversation Friday, 24-Mar-2023 16:27:13 EDT from nu.federati.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. America’s banks are missing hundreds of billions of dollars | The Eco…
      from archive.is
  5. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Friday, 17-Mar-2023 19:13:05 EDT lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    in reply to
    • Economics of the US Economy
    • lnxw48a1
    Forgot to tag !econusa https://nu.federati.net/notice/3422929
    In conversation Friday, 17-Mar-2023 19:13:05 EDT from nu.federati.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. File without filename could not get a thumbnail source.
      LinuxWalt (@lnxw48a1) {3EB165E0-5BB1-45D2-9E7D-93B31821F864} (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Friday, 17-Mar-2023 23:11:40 UTC
      By LinuxWalt (@lnxw48a1) {3EB165E0-5BB1-45D2-9E7D-93B31821F864} (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net) from Federati Nu: Federated N-series GNU Social
      Think the banking system is stable and your money stored in banks is safe? https://bikeshed.party/objects/cddd15e5-9f73-44c1-989e-2d1a01b6a139 says that #WSJ stated 186 banks are in similar condition to recently seized #SVB. (No link included and I don't feel like trying to dodge their paywall while searching Wall Street Journal for one specific article.) Fears of #contagion have a real basis ... it remains to be seen whether we weather this without a 2008-2011 style financial panic.

      Also, the follow-up post says that more than 20 private jets flew to Omaha #NE yesterday ... speculation being that regional bank CEOs are coming to see Warren Buffett for some sort of bailout. I don't necessarily hold to that view, simply because with so many publicly traded entities, someone would have said something that required a disclosure filing with the #SEC (the real one, not the South Eastern Conference of college football, but the Securities and Exchange Commission). They may or may not have filed such a filing, but for sure, those CXOs would go out of their ways to avoid the appearance of needing to file.

      Note also that most recent problems in the #cryptocurrency space have been caused by entanglements with traditionally regulated commercial #banks, #exchanges, and other regulated #financial companies. I don't think people should consider cryptocurrency an "investment" so much as a secondary channel for transactions that may offer continued access when your bank is inaccessible.

      I recently experienced a bank being inaccessible, as the bank I'd been using since the 1990s sold the branch where my account was located and I've spent the last couple of months dealing with a bungled transition. Coming on top of six months without income, it has been highly stressful. Just yesterday, they notified me that they think they've cleared the last obstacle.
  6. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Saturday, 11-Mar-2023 23:25:13 EST lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    • Economics of the US Economy
    https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/dodd-frank-act/ [www forbes com]

    A look at Dodd-Frank, which is about to be stress tested itself.

    !econusa
    In conversation Saturday, 11-Mar-2023 23:25:13 EST from nu.federati.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. How The Dodd-Frank Act Protects Your Money
      from Forbes Advisor
      In the years that followed passage of the Dodd-Frank Act, the U.S. fully recovered from the economic crisis that inspired its creation and enjoyed the longest bull market in history. The financial crisis of 2007-2008 was one of the worst economic disasters in modern U.S. history, and it was in la
  7. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Saturday, 11-Mar-2023 23:22:17 EST lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    • Economics of the US Economy
    Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), which I did not even know existed until it collapsed, is affecting more than just other banks.

    Etsy: https://nu.federati.net/url/289866 [www nbcnews com]

    Source: https://one.darnell.one/@darnell/110008331780436783

    !econusa
    In conversation Saturday, 11-Mar-2023 23:22:17 EST from nu.federati.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. Etsy warns sellers of payments delays due to Silicon Valley Bank collapse
      from NBC News
      One affected Etsy seller said the deposits delay would have a “catastrophic” effect on his business.
  8. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Sunday, 19-Feb-2023 20:30:46 EST lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    • Economics of the US Economy
    • SoCal: Southern California
    Employees go on strike at Medieval Times dinner theater's !SoCal location in #Buena_Park ( #Orange_County ). https://nu.federati.net/url/289672 [www latimes com]

    Company flies in strike breakers from non-unionized location in #Arizona.

    !econusa
    In conversation Sunday, 19-Feb-2023 20:30:46 EST from nu.federati.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. Workers at Medieval Times strike, citing low wages and high risks for knightly work
      from Los Angeles Times
      The queens, knights, advisors, trumpeters and squires of Buena Park's Medieval Times strike as shows and utensil-free dinners continue with replacement workers.
  9. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Monday, 16-Jan-2023 16:01:41 EST lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    • Economics of the US Economy
    https://nu.federati.net/url/289336 [www economist com] !econusa

    The #FTC plans to attack employee non-compete clauses. Better late than never, but they really should have pursued these 30+ years ago.
    In conversation Monday, 16-Jan-2023 16:01:41 EST from nu.federati.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. America’s trustbusters plan to curtail the use of non-compete clauses. Good
      from The Economist
      The clue is in the name
  10. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Monday, 09-Jan-2023 20:18:39 EST lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    • Economics of the US Economy
    Someone concludes that price inflation is likely to stay North of 5% for the foreseeable future. Reasoning here: https://nostr.build/i/3052i.jpg !econusa
    In conversation Monday, 09-Jan-2023 20:18:39 EST from nu.federati.net permalink
  11. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Friday, 06-Jan-2023 21:26:00 EST lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    • Economics of the US Economy
    From 2021 and surely has much of its interpretation of future events wrong, but still not something to discard without thought and examination. https://modernsurvivalblog.com/systemic-risk/the-greatest-depression-is-coming/ [modernsurvivalblog com] !econusa
    In conversation Friday, 06-Jan-2023 21:26:00 EST from nu.federati.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. The Greatest Depression Is Coming | What It Will Be Like
      from Modern Survival Blog
      It is nearly unthinkable how bad the Greatest Depression will be in today's era. In this article I touch on some sobering issues that we will surely face.
  12. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Saturday, 31-Dec-2022 14:37:57 EST lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    • Economics of the US Economy
    https://www.businessinsider.com/jp-morgan-to-acquire-1-billion-of-single-family-rentals-2022-11 [www businessinsider com]

    Housing prices are already way too high. Why is a regulated financial organization like JP Morgan Chase being allowed to fsck us? !econusa
    In conversation Saturday, 31-Dec-2022 14:37:57 EST from nu.federati.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. JPMorgan is about to spend $1 billion on hundreds of rental homes across the US on the way to becoming a megalandlord
      from Business Insider
      The build-to-rent model has become a go-to solution for developers to offload homes to investors at a time of low homebuying demand and affordability.
  13. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Thursday, 29-Dec-2022 18:49:11 EST lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    • Economics of the US Economy
    The "Yard Sale":{https://pudding.cool/2022/12/yard-sale/} model is a generalized #economic model that helps to explain the emergence of super-rich people in the economy as something that can happen by pure chance if the system does not redistribute enough wealth (not just income!).

    Why not just income? Because a lot of wealth comes about by purchasing some appreciating asset and then holding it while its value increases. The value of shares in $CORPORATION may rise even if it doesn't pay out dividends (e.g., no income to the shareholders), who may not sell for decades. In the meantime, the stock's selling price times the number of shares held gives a wealth value that can be borrowed against, despite the shareholder(s) not having received that value as income. In the simulations on the site, income would be the funds gained from interacting / gambling / trading with others, but wealth would be the amount stored in each person's wallet.

    > Currently in the US, the wealthiest 20% of families own about 70% of wealth. But this doesn't capture the true wealth disparity in the US: If the US population was represented by 1,000 people in a room, the richest one person would have four times more money than the poorest 500 people.

    * https://pudding.cool/2022/12/yard-sale/
    * https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2022-09/57598-family-wealth.pdf [www cbo gov]
    * https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/dataviz/dfa/distribute/table/
    * https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/11/4/20938229/zucman-saez-tax-rates-top-400
    * https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S037843711730081X

    > Americans pay a lot of taxes, and the rich are usually taxed more than the poor. And for the most part, that money is used for government programs that usually help the poor more than the rich.

    I disagree there. For example, when there's a "public benefit" project, your city / county / state doesn't knock down the mini-mansions in the rich part of town, they knock down homes and apartments in the lower-income areas. A big part of government spending goes into activities that stimulate selected business organizations, which are rarely owned by lower-income people or minorities. Even things like the Affordable Care Act wind up lining the pockets of big insurance companies and leaving lower-income people paying for care out-of-pocket because of insurance denials.

    More references are at the bottom of the article. I think I'm going to try to read more about this topic.

    !econusa
    In conversation Thursday, 29-Dec-2022 18:49:11 EST from nu.federati.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. Why the super rich are inevitable
      from The Pudding
      Why some mathematicians argue the economy is designed to create a few super rich people – unless we stop it.
    2. The debate over whether the very rich pay lower taxes than you, explained
      from Vox
      A striking new fact (or not) that in many ways is beside the point.
  14. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Monday, 19-Dec-2022 17:55:07 EST lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    • Economics of the US Economy
    Please, Congresscritters, Federal Reserve Chairperson Jerome Powell needs to resign or be fired. https://news.yahoo.com/powell-puts-us-pay-hikes-150000366.html [news yahoo com]

    > In his press conference after that decision on Wednesday, Powell returned to the theme. Right now, he said, wages are growing “well above what would be consistent with 2% inflation.”

    > The pivotal question for Fed officials is whether the climb in US pay over the past 18 months or so is a one-time bump — as companies adjust to scarce labor supply, and a realization that their workforce was under-compensated — or a pernicious feedback loop in which prices and wages drive each other up.

    He still doesn't seem to understand how shortages of products caused by offshoring and just-in-time inventories (e.g., management-by-fad) and the housing price spiral are huge parts of recent price inflation ... or how wages rose less than prices for decades and are only recently starting to respond. He has spent all of this year talking about how employees need to be punished. His goal appears to be that people will be willing accept a minimum wage job at Gree-C Burger and living in pup tents underneath nearby bridges.

    Nor do he or Janet Yellen accept responsibility for their roles in rapidly expanding the money supply, providing the underlying inflation that allows the price inflation to proceed.

    For these and other reasons, Mr Powell needs to be removed from office before he can hurt Americans even more than he already has.

    !econusa
    In conversation Monday, 19-Dec-2022 17:55:07 EST from nu.federati.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. Powell Puts US Pay Hikes at Heart of Fed’s 2023 Inflation Fight
      (Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has a new North Star to guide his fight against inflation, and it will put American paychecks at the heart of monetary policy next year.Most Read from BloombergMusk Polls Twitter to Quit as Chief, Voters Leaning Toward YesTwitter Users Vote for Elon Musk to Step Down as CEOTruth Is Reasserting Itself Over Trump’s LiesTrump Gets a 45-Day Extension to Provide Details on His Wealth to VotersMessi May Not Be Soccer’s GOAT for LongPowell says he’s lo
  15. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Wednesday, 14-Dec-2022 01:28:10 EST lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    • Economics of the US Economy
    US cities with largest drop in home sales 2022 vs 2021: https://constructioncoverage.com/research/cities-with-largest-drop-in-home-sales-2022 [constructioncoverage com]

    !econusa
    In conversation Wednesday, 14-Dec-2022 01:28:10 EST from nu.federati.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. American Cities With the Largest Drop in Home Sales in 2022 - Construction Coverage
      By Jonathan Jones from Construction Coverage
      American Cities With the Largest Drop in Home Sales in 2022
  16. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Wednesday, 30-Nov-2022 12:42:16 EST lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    in reply to
    • Economics of the US Economy
    • lnxw48a1
    • GeniusMusing
    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/30/crypto-exchange-kraken-lays-off-1000-employees.html [www cnbc com] (link via @geniusmusing)

    #Kraken, the 3rd-largest #cryptocurrency exchange, lays off 30% of its workforce, returning to the size it was late last year. Employees will receive 16 weeks of severance pay and benefits vesting will be extended. (Much better than what the Lane furniture company did.)

    This could be more fallout from the failure of SBF's #FTX and associated companies, or it could be cyclical economic factors ... as cryptocurrency prices seem to rise and fall with the general economy.

    !econusa
    In conversation Wednesday, 30-Nov-2022 12:42:16 EST from nu.federati.net permalink
  17. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Sunday, 27-Nov-2022 14:25:27 EST lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    in reply to
    • Economics of the US Economy
    • lnxw48a1
    !econusa
    In conversation Sunday, 27-Nov-2022 14:25:27 EST from nu.federati.net permalink
  18. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Wednesday, 26-Oct-2022 23:34:20 EDT lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    • Economics of the US Economy
    In a discussion about #CBDCs (Central Bank Digital Currencies), I popped in, posted this description, and then got back out.

    ---
    governmentally issued electronic money that only has value if it meets the following: 1. It must be spent BY the designated person or persons. 2. It must be spent ON allowed or specified products and services. 3. It must be spent BEFORE a specific date and time.
    4. It MAY have other limitations, such as geographic restrictions or only spendable at certain vendors.
    ---

    I note that a CBDC has little or nothing to do with #blockchain (at least the interesting parts around distributed consensus and distributed governance) . Electronic currencies probably date back to some of the first online multiplayer games, if not to credit card processing, so much of that has been explored for decades.

    I have seen headlines about Congress pushing the Federal Reserve and Treasury to test a CBDC soon, with an eye toward having a viable "digital dollar" before other major economies can use their own CBDCs to upend and replace the dollar.

    !econusa
    In conversation Wednesday, 26-Oct-2022 23:34:20 EDT from nu.federati.net permalink
  19. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Sunday, 25-Sep-2022 16:20:14 EDT lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    • Economics of the US Economy
    https://nu.federati.net/url/287937 [fortune com]

    US economy may feel even higher inflation, says Carl Icahn. !econusa
    In conversation Sunday, 25-Sep-2022 16:20:14 EDT from nu.federati.net permalink

    Attachments

    1. Billionaire investor Carl Icahn warns ‘the worst is yet to come’ for investors and compares U.S. inflation to the fall of the Roman empire
      from Fortune
      “We printed up too much money, and just thought the party would never end,” Icahn said, adding that with the Fed raising rates to fight inflation, "the party's over."
  20. lnxw48a1 (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Wednesday, 21-Sep-2022 00:45:02 EDT lnxw48a1 lnxw48a1
    • Economics of the US Economy
    !econusa US Treasury recommends exploring "Digital Dollar" #CDBC https://nu.federati.net/url/287868 [www usnews com]

    While we cannot yet know whether a CBDC will happen or what form it will take, what is certain is that the growth of #cryptocurrencies is inspiring this global trend of investigation the creation of national CBDCs.

    #Bitcoin #BTC
    #Ethereum #ETH
    #Ripple #XRP
    In conversation Wednesday, 21-Sep-2022 00:45:02 EDT from nu.federati.net permalink
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